Fernwald vs Vellmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
FER
2 - 1
WUR
41%
26%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
FER
0 - 2
BAY
36%
26%
38%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 3
FER
57%
22%
21%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
FER
5 - 0
BAU
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
HEK
0 - 2
FER
43%
25%
33%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 1
LOH
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 3
HUN
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BAY
2 - 0
VEL
66%
20%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 4
ESC
46%
24%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
FRA
0 - 0
VEL
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |