Fernwald vs Wörsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
43.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
FER
0 - 0
BAU
23%
23%
54%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
SWM
1 - 2
FER
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
FSV
3 - 1
FER
85%
11%
5%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
WAL
1 - 0
FER
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
FER
0 - 2
HES
20%
21%
59%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Wörsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
WAL
3 - 1
WOR
60%
22%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
WOR
0 - 0
FVB
39%
27%
34%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
WOR
2 - 3
VEL
48%
26%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
WOR
1 - 0
KKA
31%
26%
43%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
WOR
1 - 1
BAY
49%
24%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |