Fernwald vs Neuhof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
3.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
EIN
5 - 1
FER
91%
6%
3%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
FER
5 - 6
ROT
13%
16%
71%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NEU
2 - 1
FER
9%
15%
76%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
FER
0 - 7
GIE
63%
19%
19%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
VEL
3 - 3
FER
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -7 |
Matches
Neuhof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
NEU
2 - 3
STE
39%
21%
40%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
EDD
5 - 0
NEU
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NEU
2 - 1
FER
9%
15%
76%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | +2 |