Fernwald vs Bernbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
WAL
0 - 0
FER
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
FER
3 - 1
VIK
47%
24%
30%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
FER
2 - 1
WAL
27%
25%
48%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
HES
2 - 2
FER
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
FVB
2 - 1
FER
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
SVB
3 - 2
BRA
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
SVB
0 - 3
BAY
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
KKA
4 - 0
SVB
51%
25%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
EWM
0 - 3
SVB
34%
26%
40%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
SVB
2 - 1
ERZ
28%
25%
47%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |