Fernwald vs Waldgirmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FER
5 - 0
DAR
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
VIK
2 - 1
FER
26%
24%
51%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
URB
0 - 2
FER
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FER
2 - 4
BUC
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FER
2 - 2
BRA
81%
13%
7%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Waldgirmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
KIC
3 - 1
WAL
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
WEH
3 - 3
WAL
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 2
ROT
54%
22%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BUC
1 - 1
WAL
56%
20%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
WAL
2 - 2
ROT
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |