Fernwald vs Waldgirmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VIK
1 - 2
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FER
3 - 2
DAR
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FRA
0 - 2
FER
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FER
2 - 2
JUG
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
KIC
3 - 0
FER
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Waldgirmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
URB
0 - 0
WAL
58%
21%
22%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
WAL
4 - 2
BUC
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ROT
7 - 1
WAL
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 4
ESC
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 2
WEH
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |