Fernwald vs Rot-Weiß Darmstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
FER
2 - 0
KIC
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LOH
1 - 3
FER
49%
23%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
ESC
3 - 0
FER
78%
15%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
ROT
0 - 3
FER
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
FER
0 - 4
FSV
28%
25%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Darmstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ROT
1 - 1
LEH
43%
23%
35%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SFS
3 - 0
ROT
43%
23%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ROT
2 - 1
EDE
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
JUG
2 - 1
ROT
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
KIC
1 - 0
ROT
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |