Fernwald vs Lohfelden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
KKA
1 - 1
FER
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
FER
2 - 2
WOR
56%
24%
19%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
FER
2 - 0
GOR
51%
25%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
FUL
2 - 2
FER
35%
26%
39%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
FER
0 - 1
VEL
62%
22%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lohfelden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
LOH
2 - 2
BAY
14%
21%
64%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
FRA
3 - 0
LOH
81%
13%
7%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
LOH
0 - 0
BAU
20%
22%
58%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
HEK
1 - 4
LOH
70%
18%
13%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LOH
2 - 4
KIC
22%
23%
55%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | -1 |