Fernwald vs Klein-Karben analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
BHE
2 - 3
FER
25%
23%
52%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
FER
4 - 3
KIC
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
WAL
2 - 2
FER
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FER
1 - 0
GOR
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
EIN
3 - 0
FER
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Klein-Karben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
KKA
0 - 3
MAR
31%
25%
45%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
KKA
1 - 2
FRA
29%
24%
47%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
KKA
0 - 1
KIC
27%
23%
50%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
KKA
2 - 1
URB
36%
23%
41%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
VIK
2 - 0
KKA
75%
17%
9%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |