Fernwald vs Klein-Karben analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
WOR
3 - 1
FER
56%
24%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
GOR
1 - 1
FER
49%
25%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
FER
3 - 1
FUL
39%
26%
35%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2008 |
FER
2 - 3
EIN
41%
25%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
VEL
1 - 0
FER
38%
26%
37%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Klein-Karben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
KKA
1 - 3
BAY
29%
25%
46%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
FRA
2 - 0
KKA
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
KKA
0 - 3
BAU
39%
25%
36%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
HEK
0 - 3
KKA
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2008 |
KKA
2 - 2
GOR
45%
25%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |