Fernwald vs Jügesheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VEL
0 - 7
FER
39%
25%
37%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FER
2 - 0
EIN
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HUN
2 - 1
FER
21%
24%
54%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
FER
0 - 1
KIC
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 1
FER
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Jügesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
JUG
2 - 0
BRA
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BUC
4 - 0
JUG
38%
23%
38%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -3 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VEL
0 - 1
JUG
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
JUG
2 - 1
EIN
72%
18%
11%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
HUN
1 - 1
JUG
26%
24%
51%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |