Fernwald vs Jügesheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
KIC
3 - 0
FER
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FER
2 - 0
ROT
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
FER
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
FER
4 - 2
EIW
73%
16%
10%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
LOH
1 - 5
FER
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Jügesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
JUG
3 - 0
BUC
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 2
JUG
53%
23%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
JUG
0 - 3
ESC
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
URB
3 - 0
JUG
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
JUG
2 - 0
WEH
35%
25%
41%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |