Fernwald vs Bad Vilbel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
51.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
WAL
4 - 2
FER
80%
12%
7%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
FER
0 - 2
NEU
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
EIN
5 - 1
FER
91%
6%
3%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
FER
5 - 6
ROT
13%
16%
71%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NEU
2 - 1
FER
9%
15%
76%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
FVB
4 - 0
DIE
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
HES
1 - 2
FVB
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
FCH
2 - 2
FVB
92%
6%
2%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
FVB
2 - 3
HES
36%
22%
41%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
HUN
3 - 3
FVB
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |