Fernwald vs Eschborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
53.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FER
4 - 2
BAY
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
HUN
1 - 2
FER
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FER
3 - 2
VEL
35%
24%
41%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BUC
3 - 2
FER
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FER
0 - 1
LEH
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Eschborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ESC
2 - 1
KIC
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LOH
1 - 3
ESC
16%
20%
64%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ESC
3 - 0
ROT
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ROT
3 - 1
ESC
21%
21%
59%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
ESC
0 - 3
FSV
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |