Fernwald vs Eschborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
BUC
3 - 3
FER
42%
26%
33%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
FER
1 - 1
WAL
23%
24%
53%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
HUN
0 - 0
FER
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
EIN
2 - 1
FER
56%
22%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
LOH
0 - 4
FER
39%
26%
35%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Eschborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
GOR
1 - 1
ESC
46%
25%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
ESC
1 - 1
FUL
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ESC
0 - 1
BAY
34%
26%
40%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
ESC
2 - 2
FRA
45%
25%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
BAU
1 - 0
ESC
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |