Fernwald vs Eintracht Stadtallendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HUN
2 - 1
FER
21%
24%
54%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
FER
0 - 1
KIC
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 1
FER
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FER
3 - 1
URB
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
WAL
2 - 0
FER
29%
25%
47%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
EIN
1 - 2
BRA
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
JUG
2 - 1
EIN
72%
18%
11%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
EIN
1 - 2
VEL
31%
24%
45%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 1
EIN
74%
15%
10%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
HUN
1 - 1
EIN
55%
22%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |