Fernwald vs Buchonia Flieden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FER
2 - 2
BRA
81%
13%
7%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
FER
3 - 2
HUN
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
JUG
2 - 0
FER
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
EIN
3 - 2
FER
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
KIC
1 - 1
FER
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Buchonia Flieden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BUC
1 - 1
WAL
56%
20%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
BUC
0 - 1
LOH
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
BUC
5 - 1
DAR
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 1
BUC
17%
20%
63%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
JUG
0 - 1
BUC
50%
23%
28%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |