Fernwald vs Buchonia Flieden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAU
5 - 1
FER
60%
21%
20%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
EIN
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
EIW
0 - 0
FER
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
HUN
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
FER
0 - 0
BAY
32%
25%
43%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Buchonia Flieden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
FRA
3 - 2
BUC
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 1
HUN
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BUC
3 - 3
ESC
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
BUC
4 - 2
BAY
31%
24%
44%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 0
BUC
31%
23%
46%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |