Fernwald vs Buchonia Flieden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
WAL
2 - 2
FER
60%
22%
18%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
FER
4 - 1
HUN
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2008 |
ESC
0 - 1
FER
37%
27%
37%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
FER
3 - 4
LOH
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
GOR
1 - 1
FER
43%
27%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Buchonia Flieden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2008 |
BUC
2 - 3
BAY
35%
26%
39%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
FRA
3 - 3
BUC
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2008 |
BUC
3 - 2
BAU
41%
26%
33%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
BUC
1 - 2
GOR
40%
25%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
WOR
4 - 0
BUC
60%
23%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |