Fernwald vs Bayern Alzenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
WOR
1 - 1
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
FER
4 - 2
GOR
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
ERZ
2 - 0
FER
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
FER
1 - 2
WAT
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
BAU
2 - 2
FER
80%
12%
7%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern Alzenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
GOR
2 - 1
BAY
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
BAY
2 - 0
WAT
78%
15%
8%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
SWM
0 - 1
BAY
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
BAY
0 - 4
FSV
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
HES
6 - 0
BAY
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |