Fernwald vs KSV Baunatal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
45.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
FER
5 - 2
WAL
24%
19%
57%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TAM
2 - 3
FER
89%
9%
2%
|
17 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
RWW
11%
16%
74%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
EDD
1 - 1
FER
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FVB
0 - 1
FER
68%
17%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
HUN
0 - 1
BAU
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BAU
1 - 1
WAL
47%
22%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
TAM
0 - 0
BAU
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
BAU
1 - 2
SGB
26%
22%
53%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
RWW
1 - 1
BAU
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |