Fernwald vs KSV Baunatal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
WOR
1 - 2
FER
44%
26%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
HUN
2 - 0
FER
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
FRA
2 - 0
FER
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
GOR
0 - 2
FER
50%
25%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FER
0 - 1
VIK
15%
23%
62%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BAU
2 - 3
KIC
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BAU
1 - 0
URB
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SWM
2 - 2
BAU
24%
24%
53%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
BAU
5 - 2
MAR
73%
17%
11%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
FSV
2 - 0
BAU
57%
22%
22%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |