Fernandópolis vs Tupã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BEB
2 - 0
FER
50%
25%
25%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
FER
1 - 5
CAT
28%
24%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 0
FER
65%
21%
14%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
FER
4 - 2
AME
69%
21%
10%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
AND
2 - 4
FER
13%
17%
70%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
TUP
1 - 0
VOC
45%
26%
29%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 1
TUP
49%
23%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
TUP
2 - 1
ASS
51%
24%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
OSV
1 - 1
TUP
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
VOC
6 - 1
TUP
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -3 |