Fernandópolis vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
FER
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
4 - 2
FER
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FER
0 - 2
ATI
22%
23%
55%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 0
FER
52%
25%
24%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FER
1 - 2
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
PRI
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
COM
0 - 3
SAO
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
GUA
29%
26%
46%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 0
FER
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FER
1 - 2
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |