Fernandópolis vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FER
4 - 2
INT
16%
21%
63%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
PRI
3 - 1
FER
59%
24%
18%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 0
FER
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
FER
4 - 2
GRÊ
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
FER
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 2
NAC
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
CAT
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 1
PRI
54%
24%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 2
GUA
49%
24%
26%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 2
CAT
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |