Fernández Vial vs Trasandino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
9º
13º
11º
8
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 51 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 45 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 43 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 43 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 43 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 41 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 38 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 32 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 31 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 31 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 29 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 24 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 20 |
14º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
78% | 28% |
|
Relegation
|
22% | 72% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 0
FVC
38%
28%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FVC
1 - 1
OVA
50%
27%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FVC
0 - 1
PUE
41%
28%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LAU
4 - 3
FVC
43%
27%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FVC
1 - 1
SAU
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Trasandino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 2
OVA
38%
28%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 3
REN
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 0
TRA
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 4
CDM
25%
26%
48%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 1
LIM
20%
26%
53%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |