Fernández Vial vs Trasandino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
13º
3º
34
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
REN
1 - 1
FVC
38%
28%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
FVC
1 - 0
CON
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LAU
0 - 2
FVC
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GVE
0 - 1
FVC
46%
28%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FVC
0 - 0
JOA
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Trasandino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
4 - 1
JOA
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 1
TRA
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 0
DLI
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
REN
2 - 3
TRA
52%
24%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 3
CON
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |