Fernández Vial vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
SAU
0 - 0
FVC
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
FVC
1 - 0
ACC
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
FVC
2 - 1
VAL
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
CAU
3 - 0
FVC
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
FVC
0 - 1
IBE
45%
25%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
CHG
0 - 1
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
GVE
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
LAU
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
SAU
0 - 4
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |