Fernández Vial vs Provincial Ovalle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
23.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
9º
14º
14º
33
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FVC
0 - 1
PUE
41%
28%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LAU
4 - 3
FVC
43%
27%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FVC
1 - 1
SAU
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LIM
3 - 3
FVC
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
FVC
1 - 0
VAL
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 0
LAU
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 0
OVA
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
OVA
4 - 1
MPA
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ACC
2 - 1
OVA
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
OVA
2 - 0
DUC
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |