Fernández Vial vs Recoleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 0
FVC
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
FVC
1 - 1
CAU
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
GVE
4 - 1
FVC
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
FVC
2 - 0
SAN
38%
27%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
SAU
0 - 0
FVC
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
DER
0 - 3
CHG
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
LAU
0 - 3
DER
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
DER
2 - 1
VAL
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
DER
2 - 2
IBE
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |