Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 0-3
Fernández Vial vs Coquimbo Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
49.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
FVC
1 - 1
UCH
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
UCH
1 - 1
FVC
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
CSL
2 - 2
FVC
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
FVC
0 - 0
CSL
27%
24%
48%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
CAU
1 - 3
FVC
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Coquimbo Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
COQ
0 - 0
CSD
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
CSD
0 - 1
COQ
25%
24%
51%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
COQ
1 - 0
ANT
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
ANT
0 - 0
COQ
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
ROD
0 - 1
COQ
12%
16%
72%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |