Fernández Vial vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
13º
3º
31
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LAU
0 - 2
FVC
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GVE
0 - 1
FVC
46%
28%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FVC
0 - 0
JOA
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CDP
0 - 0
FVC
36%
27%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DLI
0 - 1
FVC
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CON
1 - 1
LIM
22%
27%
51%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
CON
58%
22%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SAU
1 - 3
CON
54%
25%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CON
2 - 1
CDP
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 3
CON
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |