Fernández Vial vs Colchagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
LAU
0 - 4
FVC
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
FVC
1 - 3
DER
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 0
FVC
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
FVC
1 - 1
CAU
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
GVE
4 - 1
FVC
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Colchagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CHG
2 - 2
GVE
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
DER
0 - 3
CHG
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CHG
1 - 2
LAU
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 0
CHG
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
CHG
5 - 3
CAU
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |