Fernández Vial vs CD Provincial Osorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
9º
14º
14º
32
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 46 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 37 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 36 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
14º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
94.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 1
FVC
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 0
FVC
50%
27%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FVC
2 - 0
LAU
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CIU
2 - 2
FVC
14%
19%
67%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 1
FVC
36%
26%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CDP
2 - 3
GVE
30%
28%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TRA
4 - 2
CDP
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 4
CON
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CDP
2 - 2
DEP
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
JOA
3 - 3
CDP
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |