Fernández Vial vs CD Provincial Osorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
13º
3º
34
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FVC
2 - 1
DLI
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 1
FVC
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
USF
2 - 1
FVC
48%
27%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FVC
2 - 3
COB
25%
28%
47%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
FVC
58%
22%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LIM
1 - 0
CDP
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 2
TRA
40%
27%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
CDP
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DUC
0 - 2
CDP
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CDP
1 - 0
MSA
50%
26%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |