Fernández Vial vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
RTI
2 - 1
FVC
38%
26%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FVC
1 - 1
USF
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
UEI
3 - 4
FVC
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FVC
2 - 1
DCO
55%
25%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
CCI
5 - 0
FVC
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CDM
2 - 1
RTI
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
USF
3 - 0
CDM
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CDM
3 - 3
UEI
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
DCO
3 - 3
CDM
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CDM
4 - 1
CCI
32%
25%
42%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +2 |