Fermana vs Vis Pesaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
FER
26%
24%
51%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
CAM
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FER
2 - 0
AVE
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 1
FER
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FER
1 - 4
SAN
47%
23%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Vis Pesaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIS
1 - 0
SAN
29%
25%
45%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 2
VIS
51%
25%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VIS
2 - 0
JES
43%
26%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SSS
2 - 0
VIS
82%
13%
5%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIS
2 - 1
AMI
49%
25%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |