Fermana vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
42.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
REG
2 - 0
FER
56%
25%
19%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
FER
2 - 1
VIS
54%
26%
20%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
VIR
3 - 0
FER
51%
27%
22%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
PAD
3 - 1
FER
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
FER
0 - 2
SOR
49%
27%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
AVE
1 - 1
RIM
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 2
AVE
28%
30%
42%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
AVE
1 - 0
TER
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
AVE
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
AVE
2 - 1
SSS
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |