Fermana vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
47%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ABN
1 - 1
FER
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
VIS
43%
29%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
FAN
2 - 0
FER
37%
30%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
RIM
39%
28%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
TER
0 - 1
FER
55%
25%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
VIC
1 - 1
TER
48%
25%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
TER
1 - 1
POR
26%
26%
48%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
TER
0 - 3
IMO
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
ASG
1 - 1
TER
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
TER
0 - 0
SSS
45%
26%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |