Fermana vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
53.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
AMI
2 - 1
FER
33%
24%
42%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
JES
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CIV
3 - 1
FER
38%
25%
38%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
FCC
74%
17%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TER
2 - 2
FER
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2015 |
SSS
0 - 2
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SSS
3 - 0
CAS
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
REC
2 - 2
SSS
19%
24%
57%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SSS
1 - 1
MAC
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 2
SSS
30%
25%
46%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |