Fermana vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
TER
3 - 2
FER
61%
23%
16%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
PRO
0 - 0
FER
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
FER
1 - 0
PIZ
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
GEN
14%
24%
63%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
PRO
2 - 0
FER
61%
24%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
SSS
0 - 0
RAV
35%
29%
36%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 0
SSS
37%
26%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
SSS
2 - 4
ASS
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
SPE
1 - 0
SSS
53%
26%
21%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
SSS
1 - 1
TER
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |