Fermana vs SN Notaresco 2018 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FER
2 - 0
CIV
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
FER
17%
21%
63%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FER
3 - 0
JES
59%
23%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 1
FER
22%
21%
57%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
SAM
52%
23%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 1
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
ASD
1 - 1
SAN
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAN
21%
22%
58%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
OLY
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |