Fermana vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.8%
77.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
17.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.6%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
TER
2 - 1
FER
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
FER
1 - 2
SAM
8%
19%
73%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
ATL
4 - 0
FER
90%
8%
2%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
FER
2 - 2
RAV
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
COS
1 - 0
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
SAM
3 - 2
ALZ
89%
9%
2%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
FER
1 - 2
SAM
8%
19%
73%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
SAM
2 - 1
FCS
91%
8%
2%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
SAM
2 - 1
ASS
75%
17%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2000 |
PES
4 - 0
SAM
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |