Fermana vs Renate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
GER
1 - 1
FER
47%
26%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
FER
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 1
FER
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
SSS
2 - 0
FER
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
FER
0 - 1
ASS
37%
29%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
REN
0 - 0
ASS
30%
32%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
VIC
1 - 1
REN
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
REN
1 - 1
SSS
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
REN
1 - 0
RIM
35%
28%
37%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
FER
0 - 0
REN
63%
22%
16%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |