Fermana vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
43.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
SAN
3 - 0
FER
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
FER
3 - 2
BEN
37%
29%
34%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
CTT
2 - 0
FER
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
FER
2 - 2
AVE
29%
29%
43%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
REG
2 - 0
FER
56%
25%
19%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
PRO
1 - 1
SPE
35%
29%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
PRO
0 - 1
ABN
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
PRO
1 - 2
COM
49%
28%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
SAS
2 - 1
PRO
36%
29%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
PRO
2 - 1
ACP
51%
27%
23%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |