Fermana vs Martina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 0
FER
53%
25%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
FER
1 - 2
ACI
30%
28%
42%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
VIS
2 - 1
FER
46%
28%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
FER
1 - 1
CRO
38%
28%
34%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
TAR
1 - 2
FER
57%
25%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Martina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 1
BEN
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2003 |
FCC
2 - 0
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 0
USF
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 4
ACI
30%
27%
42%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
VIS
0 - 1
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |