Fermana vs Lodigiani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
PES
3 - 0
FER
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
FER
2 - 2
NOC
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 1
FER
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
FER
0 - 1
CAS
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
GIU
4 - 2
FER
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lodigiani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
LOD
1 - 0
VIR
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
LOD
2 - 1
GIU
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
VIS
0 - 0
LOD
37%
26%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
LOD
1 - 0
CAT
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
ASC
3 - 1
LOD
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |