Fermana vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
FER
1 - 2
SSS
34%
30%
36%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
MAR
5 - 2
FER
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
FER
1 - 1
VIT
41%
27%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 0
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
FER
1 - 1
GIU
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
LAQ
1 - 0
CHI
42%
27%
32%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
GIU
1 - 2
LAQ
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
LAQ
1 - 1
SOR
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
LAQ
1 - 0
TAR
29%
27%
44%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
BEN
1 - 0
LAQ
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |