Fermana vs Jesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 1
FER
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
AMI
3 - 4
FER
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FER
0 - 2
REC
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FVE
1 - 1
FER
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FER
2 - 2
GIU
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
JES
1 - 0
CAS
64%
19%
16%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
JES
2 - 0
CHI
40%
26%
34%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
AVE
5 - 2
JES
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
OLY
1 - 0
JES
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
JES
1 - 0
SAN
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |