Fermana vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
22.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2005 |
RIM
0 - 0
FER
73%
17%
9%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
FER
0 - 4
USF
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 0
FER
51%
27%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
FER
1 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
SSS
0 - 1
FER
50%
27%
23%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2005 |
GIU
2 - 2
TER
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
VIR
0 - 0
GIU
58%
25%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
GIU
0 - 1
USF
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
GIU
0 - 0
CHI
40%
29%
31%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
PAD
4 - 1
GIU
63%
23%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |